Since the start of the health crisis in 2019, and even at the height of the COVID-19 pandemic, real estate has been booming. There was no real estate crisis, on the contrary. The number of real estate transactions over 12 months between the 1st quarter of 2020 and that of 2021 was even a record: a volume of 1,130,000 real estate sales in old was recorded, a record since the beginning of this century! More than ever, the tangible aspect of investing in real estate, whether renting or not, makes buying a house or apartment reassuring.
In addition, we will also notice a change in the morphology of the real estate market in 2021. A dynamic real estate market where a certain craze has arisen among the relocation of large metropolises towards medium-sized and small cities (but also towards the countryside), as well as a pronounced fondness for the old real estate market, with the remarkable consequence of a very marked increase in real estate prices in certain regions.
However, these trends need to be put into perspective. In particular, real estate experts have seen a slowdown in real estate transactions since the summer of 2021 and the real estate trend for 2022 could very well be different from this year. What are the real estate trends for 2021? What were the consequences of the health crisis on the real estate market? Why is there a relocation of major urban centers to more distant geographic areas? Which trends are we heading towards the real estate market in 2022?
Australian real estate trends for 2021 are not neutral and reflect a change of mindset among Australians since the start of the pandemic. Our experts therefore offer you a summary of what to remember about the real estate market in 2021, but also a small projection of what the real estate trends should be for 2022!
Real estate trends 2021
We told you in the preamble and we repeat it here: the successive lockdowns and the health crisis have in no way slowed down the momentum of real estate transactions. And perhaps the new “way of life” imposed by COVID is no stranger to the health of the real estate market. explanation.
Health crisis, real estate health
Record, did you say record? Despite a slight drop in sales since the end of the summer, 2021 will certainly remain a banner year. Specialists expect a record volume of real estate sales this year, i.e. more than 1,200,000 real estate transactions for the year 2021. The last record so far, that of 2019, was already remarkable with 1,067 million real estate transactions. Why such numbers? But because people still want to invest in stone, of course!
First of all, it is the simple but unavoidable observation that incarceration makes people feel more at home. The bad experience of some in 2019 during the first period of incarceration led many people to investing in luxury real estate around the world to buy a new house in which to live well. In fact, these are more old houses than apartments, which is understandable in order to be able to ventilate unrestrictedly and thus enjoy a little greenery. The sword of Damocles, represented by the different variants, only reinforced this desire for elsewhere and for the better.
In addition, the attractiveness associated with the still very low interest rates favored this record volume of real estate transactions. In July 2021, the average interest rate on new home loans was still 1.05%. And it’s not the latest recommendations from the HCSF (“Supreme Council for Financial Stability”) that have changed the situation.
In addition, the standardization of teleworking refers to this concept of comfort for many employees. Teleworking requires more space and is much easier in a house than in an apartment. Home sweet home, even at work you might say!
“The safe harbor, very low rates, teleworking, the need for space and greenery and the remote signing of notarial deeds have ensured that the market has held up well.”
Old houses are popular
The volume of second-hand housing transactions exceeded 990,000 sales in 2020, and these are also exceptional numbers as this “achievement” has not happened so often. Indeed, the sales figure of 900,000 was only reached or exceeded in 2017, 2018, 2019 and 2020. We can be sure that London’s appetite for buying old houses in 2022 will be confirmed.
In Paris, for example, the old housing market has indeed benefited from increased attractiveness between 2020 and 2021, with sales volume growing by around 8%, mainly attributable to the Greater Crown (+13%). However, the sales volume of old apartments also grew by 5% in Petite and Grande Couronne (sources “Chambre des Notaires de Paris”).
This search for investment in the old, whether in an apartment or a house, will continue in 2021. This is confirmed by the economic note of the notaries of France of July 15, which recorded an impressive number of 1,130,000 transactions. in the former nationally , over a period of twelve months (as of May 31, 2021).
Real estate trends for 2022
Referring to the latest statistic released in early October, economic growth should still be significant in 2022 and inflation should remain a level higher than the previously observed underlying inflation. the health crisis associated with COVID-19.
It is clear that these two essential factors can justify a slight but certain increase in mortgage rates. With the mortgage interest rate so low and also lower than inflation, we cannot continue to borrow sustainably. This could be the cause of a sharp rise in real estate prices… when they don’t need it (a priori)!
In addition, with the amendment and tightening of the rules for the granting of real estate credit, formalized by this publication of the Official Gazette n ° 237 of October 10, 2021, we can expect a decline in the activity of real estate transactions, in its continuity, started in the summer of 2021. In addition, it seems reasonable to think that a rise in mortgage rates, related to the stricter debt standards imposed by the HCSF, is causing a slight fall in real estate prices in the near term (or at least a sharp slowing down of their rise), and probably before the beginning of 2022.
However, keep in mind that predicting real estate trends, like forecasting the weather, is not an exact science! Our experts will keep a close eye on the development of the real estate market in 2022 for you.
Lucy Marcus is a dedicated blogger who is particularly interested in writing about what she’s learned, ideas to make your life easier, and how to achieve your goals. Her only passion is to explore the internet in search of excellent articles that will give her new ideas for writing articles. She despises being an ordinary citizen who is wasting her time. them also on medium, Newsbreak, dirt and many more